Is the Atlantic a Source for Decadal Predictability of Sea‐Level Rise in Venice?

Sea-level rise is one of the most critical consequences global warming, with potentially vast impacts on coastal environments and societies. changes are spatially temporally heterogeneous multiannual-to-multidecadal timescales. Here, we demonstrate that observed rate winter sea-level in Italian city Venice contains significant multidecadal fluctuations, including interdecadal periods near-zero trend. Previous literature established a connection between local trend over broad subpolar eastern North Atlantic. We for variations such holds only since mid-20th Century. Such fluctuations relate to Atlantic sea-surface temperature described by variability, or AMV. The link explained combined effect AMV-linked steric propagating Mediterranean Sea, large-scale atmospheric circulation anomalies sea level Venice. discuss implications variability near-term predictability Combining available projections scenario imminent AMV cooling yields slowdown Venice, possibility mean values remaining even roughly constant next two decades as effects contrast expected long-term rise. Acknowledging, understanding, communicating this crucial management protection world-class historical site.